Here’s a letter to Project Syndicate.
Editor:
Glenn Hubbard rightly denounces Trump’s tariffs, but he weakens his case by conceding to protectionists points that shouldn’t be conceded (“The Policy Pivot Trump Needs,” May 26). Most importantly, it’s simply untrue that what Mr. Hubbard calls “distributional effects” – the demise of some industries and jobs and the rise of others – are uniquely caused, as protectionists insist, by trade deficits.
Any and all economic changes – including improvements in labor-saving technology and changes in consumer tastes – affect some domestic industries, jobs, and regions negatively as they affect other domestic industries, jobs, and regions positively. Nothing in economics or ethics justifies singling out for special consideration the “distributional effects” caused by foreigners’ strong desire to use their dollars to invest in the U.S. rather than to buy U.S. exports. Such a concession inadvertently treats as factual two of protectionism’s most egregious fallacies, namely, that trade with foreigners differs categorically from trade with fellow citizens, and that countries that run trade deficits suffer inadequate aggregate demand.
Mr. Hubbard also mistakenly accepts as true the false belief that the dollar’s role as global reserve currency is a “detriment” to manufacturing employment. The steady decline in U.S. manufacturing employment, as a share of total nonfarm employment, began in 1954 (only to slow down a bit starting in 2010).* If this decline in manufacturing employment resulted from the dollar’s reserve-currency status pushing manufacturing out of the U.S., U.S. manufacturing output would also have fallen. But it hasn’t. Today, U.S. manufacturing output is 153 percent higher than it was in 1975 (the last year the U.S. ran an annual trade surplus) and 464 percent higher than it was in 1954.
Mr. Hubbard should continue to speak out against protectionism. But his welcome voice would be stronger if he were to stop treating as factual so many of protectionism’s fallacies.
Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Professor of Economics
and
Martha and Nelson Getchell Chair for the Study of Free Market Capitalism at the Mercatus Center
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA 22030* See attached screenshot.



Paul Krugman enthusiastically tweeted about Thaler’s prize: “Yes! Behavioral econ is the best thing to happen to the field in generations.” Thaler gives Paul and the other plausible illiberals another reason to recommend bossing people around. For their own good, you understand.
In civilized society it is indeed not so much the greater knowledge that the individual can acquire, as the greater benefit he receives from the knowledge possessed by others, which is the cause of his ability to pursue an infinitely wider range of ends than merely the satisfaction of his most pressing physical needs. Indeed, a ‘civilized’ individual may be very ignorant, more ignorant than many a savage, and yet greatly benefit from the civilization in which he lives.
He [Hamilton] knew that a capital surplus (net inflow), mirroring a merchandise deficit, was akin to an international vote of confidence in the United States.
